Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Bangladesh united in grief over a failed rescue from collapsed factory

Many hundreds have been rescued so far. But a fire broke out today amid the rubble of the collapsed building, ending hopes of saving a known survivor named Shahinur.

By Saad Hammadi,?Correspondent / April 28, 2013

Rescue workers search Sunday for survivors in the remains of a collapsed garment factory in Bangladesh.

Wong Maye-E/AP

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She was the last person located and known to still be alive inside a garment factory building that collapsed last week in Bangladesh. But before rescuers could save Shahinur, who went by only one name, a fire broke out in the rubble today and the woman who captured the attention of the nation perished. The death toll now stands at 378.

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Bangladesh is passing through one of its gloomiest national moments. Civilians extending help in the rescue effort were anxiously looking forward to Shahinur?s rescue, as were those away from the site, who remained glued to television and mobile phones.

Firefighters made three foxholes in the area where Shahinur was stuck and almost managed to get her out. In the meantime, public hope for her rescue led the army to hold off on its plans this morning to start using heavy equipment to clear more of the rubble, according to Masudur Rahman Akand, a deputy assistant director of the Fire Service and Civil Defense.

When the fire broke out, the failure brought tears to the eyes of many. With the fourth day of search and rescue coming to a close, victims are reluctant to give up hope, and a nation remains, for a time, united in grief and anger.?

According to information provided by relatives of those who worked in the factories, about 761 persons are still missing. A security guard rescued last night has said that a person on the seventh floor of the squeezed building was still alive.

?There could be few more people still surviving inside the wreckage,? says a local journalist present at the site.

However, preparations are underway to begin the second phase of recovery by using cranes and other heavy equipment. ?According to our estimates possibly there is no more persons alive,? says a lieutenant colonel with the Bangladesh Army. ?With [only] light equipment we cannot remove all the rubble.?

The rescue efforts have transfixed Bangladeshis, overshadowing the Shahbag protests that began in February to insist on tough punishments for Islamist leaders who committed war crimes during the 1971 war for independence. The protests spawned a broader secular movement, and touched off political tensions about the role of Islam in politics.?

For now, those tensions have receded. Bangladeshis from all walks of life, besides extending their support to the rescue efforts, are largely united in calling for the maximum punishment for the owner of the building and the factory owners ??for what many call a ?mass murder.?

Despite instructions to keep the building closed on Tuesday after an inspection team comprising of engineers identified cracks, the building owner kept it open. Factory owners threatened they would dock workers' pay unless they went to work.

Bangladesh?s elite crime busting agency Rapid Action Battalion on Sunday arrested Sohel Rana, owner of Rana Plaza ? the eight-story commercial complex ? that housed five factories, a few shops, and a private bank. Mr. Rana was arrested from Benapole, one of the border crossings Bangladesh shares with India.?

?All agencies were alerted about Rana. We were finally able to arrest him,? said Mukhlesur Rahman, director general of the Rapid Action Battalion. He had traveled to more than one district in the last four days, he added.?

Bangladesh police have also arrested four of the owners of the five factories: Mahmudur Rahman Tapas of New Wave Bottoms, Bazlus Samad Adnan of New Wave Styles, Aminul Islam of Phantom Apparels and Phantom Tac Limited, and Anisur Rahman of Ether Tex.

Yet political disagreements are already on the horizon. Bangladesh?s right-wing opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) has called for a countrywide shutdown on May 2, protesting the deaths at Savar.

A BNP official noted that the day of the factory collapse, the party had called for a nationwide general strike, or hartal, on unrelated matters. Abdul Moyeen Khan, standing committee member of the BNP, implied that workers in the cracked building were forced to come to work in a political bid to prove that people defied the hartal.?

?Work was called off the day cracks were identified. What turned so important for the workers to gather during a?hartal?? he said.?You must have noticed that several survivors said that they were threatened that their pay will be docked.?

The government is now faced with trying to manage anger from a second major factory disaster within the past half year. In November, a fire broke out in a factory on the outskirts of the capital, killing more than 100 people.

So far, the government has highlighted the rescue efforts as a major success, with as many as 2,400 rescued. Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina said: ?This has perhaps never happened in the history that so many lives were rescued after such a disaster.?

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/FoZDiDr7eao/Bangladesh-united-in-grief-over-a-failed-rescue-from-collapsed-factory

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How does pregnancy reduce breast cancer risk?

Monday, April 29, 2013

Being pregnant while young is known to protect a women against breast cancer. But why? Research in BioMed Central's open access journal Breast Cancer Research finds that Wnt/Notch signalling ratio is decreased in the breast tissue of mice which have given birth, compared to virgin mice of the same age.

Early pregnancy is protective against breast cancer in humans and in rodents. In humans having a child before the age of 20 decreases risk of breast cancer by half. Using microarray analysis researchers from Basel discovered that genes involved in the immune system and differentiation were up-regulated after pregnancy while the activity of genes coding for growth factors was reduced.

The activity of one particular gene Wnt4 was also down-regulated after pregnancy. The protein from this gene (Wnt4) is a feminising protein - absence of this protein propels a foetus towards developing as a boy. Wnt and Notch are opposing components of a system which controls cellular fate within an organism and when the team looked at Notch they found that genes regulated by notch were up-regulated, Notch-stimulating proteins up-regulated and Notch-inhibiting proteins down-regulated.

Wnt/Notch signalling ratio was permanently altered in the basal stem/progenitor cells of mammary tissue of mice by pregnancy. Mohamed Bentires-Alj from the Friedrich Miescher Institute for Biomedical Research, who led this study explained, "The down-regulation of Wnt is the opposite of that seen in many cancers, and this tightened control of Wnt/Notch after pregnancy may be preventing the runaway growth present in cancer."

###

Parity induces differentiation and reduces Wnt/Notch signaling ratio and proliferation potential of basal stem/progenitor cells isolated from mouse mammary epithelium

Fabienne Meier-Abt, Emanuela Milani, Tim Roloff, Heike Brinkhaus, Stephan Duss, Dominique S Meyer, Ina Klebba, Piotr J Balwierz, Erik van Nimwegen and Mohamed Bentires-Alj

Breast Cancer Research (in press)

BioMed Central: http://www.biomedcentral.com

Thanks to BioMed Central for this article.

This press release was posted to serve as a topic for discussion. Please comment below. We try our best to only post press releases that are associated with peer reviewed scientific literature. Critical discussions of the research are appreciated. If you need help finding a link to the original article, please contact us on twitter or via e-mail.

This press release has been viewed 43 time(s).

Source: http://www.labspaces.net/127977/How_does_pregnancy_reduce_breast_cancer_risk_

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Minnesota House bill has shield for high school coaches under fire (Star Tribune)

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Monday, April 29, 2013

Vince Vaughn and wife expecting second child

Charles Rex Arbogast / AP

Vince Vaughn and Kyla Weber.

By Erin O'Sullivan, Access Hollywood

Vince Vaughn will soon be a daddy of two! During an appearance on ?The Ellen DeGeneres Show? (set to air on Monday), the ?Internship? actor, 43, revealed he and his wife Kyla are expecting their second child.

VIEW THE PHOTOS: CinemaCon 2013: Candid celebrity uSnaps

?This is the first time I?ve said anything,? Vince told Ellen. ?We?re very excited.?

Vince, who tied the knot with Kyla in January 2010, said his wife is due on August 5.

VIEW THE PHOTOS: MTV Movie Awards 2013: Red carpet styles!

The couple?s first child, daughter Locklyn Kyla Vaughn, was born in December 2010 and Vince chatted with Access Hollywood about daddy duty shortly after her birth.

?It?s been really wonderful,? he told Access in a January 2011 interview. ?I feel really grateful and I?ve been enjoying it. It?s very nice.??

VIEW THE PHOTOS: Coachella 2013: The stars party in the desert

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Source: http://todayentertainment.today.com/_news/2013/04/29/17968230-vince-vaughn-and-wife-kyla-expecting-second-child?lite

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Friday, April 19, 2013

OUYA shows up at the FCC, has its guts splayed for the world to see

Image

It was only a matter of time, we suppose, before OUYA found itself on Uncle Sam's table, and the day has finally come, as the open source console has made its way through the FCC. As we've steadily uncovered all of OUYA's secrets since its inception, there's not much new revealed by the government's testing. That said, the flayed OUYA appears to be a founding backer edition, with the names of the chosen 11 inscribed on one side, but it's exchanged the opaque power button on top for a clear unit -- indicating that perhaps retail OUYA's will make it easier for owners to tell when the thing's on. Want to see the full monty for yourself? Theres's plenty of pictures of the OUYA's insides at the source link below.

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Source: FCC

Source: http://feeds.engadget.com/~r/weblogsinc/engadget/~3/r8PEkKRWnAA/

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Sunday, April 7, 2013

Egypt: Clashes outside cathedral leave 1 dead

CAIRO (AP) ? The head of Egypt's national ambulance services says one person has been killed in clashes outside Cairo's main Coptic Christian cathedral.

Mohammed Sultan said the person died of wounds from birdshots.

Sunday's clashes outside the St. Mark Coptic Orthodox Cathedral began shortly after hundreds of angry Christians left the sprawling complex to stage an anti-government march following a funeral for four Christians killed in sectarian clashes on Saturday.

Soon after they left the complex, a mob, described by witnesses as residents of the area, pelted them with rocks, firebombs and birdshot, forcing them back inside the complex. They also showered the protesters with rocks from the roofs of nearby buildings, according to witness Ibrahim el-Shareef.

At least 21 people were also injured in the clashes.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/egypt-clashes-outside-cathedral-leave-1-dead-174506660.html

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S. Sudan restarts oil production, ending row with Khartoum

THAR JATH, South Sudan: South Sudan restarted oil production yesterday, ending a bitter 15-month row with former civil war foe Sudan and marking a major breakthrough in relations after bloody border clashes last year.
?The oil is now flowing,? South Sudan oil minister Stephen Dhieu Dau shouted as he flicked a switch to restart production at a ceremony in the Thar Jath field in Unity state.
Sudan and South Sudan came close to a return to all-out conflict last year in bitter fighting along their un-demarcated border in April and March, a conflict prompted partly by their disputes over oil.
?This is a sign of peace,? Dau said, as crowds danced in celebration. ?No way are these sisterly countries to live without peace, and oil will play a great role to keep the peace in Sudan and South Sudan.?
South Sudan halted crude production in early 2012, cutting off most of its revenue after accusing Khartoum of theft in a row over export fees.
At talks in Addis Ababa last month, the two countries finally settled on detailed timetables to ease tensions, after months of intermittent border clashes, by resuming oil flows and implementing other key pacts.
Earlier deals had remained stalled after Khartoum pushed for guarantees that South Sudan would no longer back rebels fighting in its border areas of South Kordofan and Blue Nile.
The shutdown has cost both impoverished nations billions of dollars. China was the biggest buyer of the oil.
South Sudan won independence in July 2011 after a referendum set up under a 2005 peace agreement that ended more than two decades of bloody civil war.
At independence, South Sudan won control of roughly 75 percent of the 470,000 barrels per day of crude produced by the formerly unified country.
The separation left Khartoum without most of its export earnings and half of its fiscal revenues.
Before the shutdown, oil provided South Sudan with 98 percent of its revenue.
But while South Sudan has the bulk of the oil fields, the pipeline infrastructure all runs north through Sudan.
During the oil shutdown, South Sudan said it was exploring the possibility of building new pipelines, either to the Indian Ocean through Kenya to the south, or to the Gulf of Aden through Ethiopia and Djibouti to the east.
However, Dau said the resumption of production was ?a message of the commitment of the leadership of the government and the people of South Sudan to comply with the agreements signed with Sudan.?
It was sign of the ?commitment that the two states ... must be viable, must be prosperous, they must live together,? he added.
Oil companies in South Sudan include Malaysian state-owned Petronas, China?s National Petroleum Company, and the Sudd Petroleum Operating Company (SPOC), a joint venture between Petronas and South Sudan?s government.
?This is a very special day,? said Emi Suhardi Mohd Fadzil, president of SPOC, which operates the field around Thar Jath known as Block 5a, southeast of the Unity state capital Bentiu.
?We never doubted that this day would come, it was a matter of time, and that time has come,? he added.
Oil deals agreed between Juba and Khartoum are worth between $1 billion and $1.5 billion annually in transit fees and other payments for Sudan, an international economist has estimated.
Billions more dollars would reach South Sudan from its oil sales.
Khartoum earlier said South Sudanese oil would be shipped from Sudan by the end of May.
?Sudan and South Sudan agreed to start oil pumping in mid-April and the exportation by the end of May,? Sudan?s official SUNA news agency said late Friday.
Sudan?s undersecretary at the petroleum ministry, Awad Abdul Fatah, said that when ?all is back to normal working,? it was expected that some 250,000 to 350,000 barrels of oil a day would be pumped from South Sudan through Sudan.
Initial production rates from Thar Jath were expected to be low ? around 10,000 barrels a day ? but Dau said he hoped it would rise soon as more wells gradually came online.
?Today what is important is to resume, to start again,? he said.

Source: http://www.arabnews.com/node/447214

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The Reference Frame: Dyson: Climatologists are no Einsteins

The New Jersey Star Ledger printed a nice interview with Freeman Dyson:

Climatologists are no Einsteins, says his successor (Star Ledger)

Beginning in the GWPF (Benny Peiser et al.)
They mention that when Einstein was still around, Dyson was hired by the Institute for Advanced Studies in Princeton after the search for the planet's most brilliant physicist. He has done quite some work to justify these labels although I wouldn't say that it has put him at the #1 spot. He's still one of the giants of the old times who keep on walking on the globe.

At any rate, he is saying some things that should be important for everyone, especially every layman, who wants to understand the climate debate. The climatologists don't really understand the climate; they just blindly follow computer models that are full of ad hoc fudge factors to account for clouds and other aspects.

Freeman Dyson also mentioned that increased CO2 is probably making the environment better and he estimated that about 15% of the crop yields are due to the extra CO2 added by the human activity. I agree with this estimate wholeheartedly. The CO2 is elevated by a factor of K = 396/280 = 1.41 and my approximate rule is that the crop yields scale like the square root of K which is currently between 1.15 and 1.20.

Dyson ? and the sensible journalist ? also mention that the journalists are doing a lousy job, probably because they're lazy and just love to copy things from others. The hatred against the "dissenters" is similar to what it used to be in the Soviet Union; I must confirm that.

The article also contains some older videos in which Dyson was interviewed.

This 13-year-old Gentleman, Alex, who is doing speeches has understood many things about the climate panic that many adults have not. He got an iPad as a reward for that. ;-)

But let me return to the "no Einsteins" claim. It's a very important one because the climate scientists were sometimes painted nearly as the ultimate superior discipline above all of sciences. In reality, the climate scientists are ? and even before the climate hysteria took off were ? the worst among the worst physical scientists. I am sure that everyone who has studied at a physics department with many possible subfields must know that. My conclusions primarily come from Prague but I feel more or less certain that they hold almost everywhere.

When you're a college freshman in a similar maths-and-physics department, you start to be exposed to various types of scientific results very soon. Some people find the maths too complicated and they give up. Some students survive. Those who survive pretty quickly find out whether they're better in the theory or the experimental approach to physics. Clearly, if they're into experiments, they will drift towards atomic physics, optics, vacuum physics, and perhaps condensed matter physics, aside from several disciplines.

If they feel comfortable in advanced theory, they will lean towards theoretical physics, nuclear physics, and partly theoretical condensed matter physics. But all the statements so far were "politically correct" ? implicitly assuming that everyone is equally good and he only has different interests. But that ain't the case.

Some people aren't too good at anything. In Prague, it's been a pretty much official wisdom that those folks are most likely to pick atmospheric physics or geophysics and ? if they care about stars ? astrophysics. In some sense, these fields are conceptually stuck in the 19th century or perhaps 18th century. They're simple enough. The laymen's common sense is often enough to do them. Quantum mechanics may be viewed as the most characteristic litmus test. If a student finds it impenetrable, he or she must give up ideas about going to particle physics but also condensed matter physics, optics, and some other characteristic "20th century" disciplines.

The people who are sort of good at maths but they really find out they are slower with quantum mechanics tend to go to (general) relativistic physics which is a powerful field in Prague. To some extent, the detachment from quantum mechanics is correlated with the detachment from statistical methods in physics and from experimenter's thinking. So among the smart enough folks, the relativists who have avoided quantum mechanics from their early years are probably the "least experimentally oriented" ones.

But meteorology is the ultimate refugee camp. A stereotypical idea of the job waiting for the meteorology alumni are the "tree frogs" [a Czech synonym for "weather girls"] who forecast the weather on TV screens. Their makeup is usually more important than their knowledge and understanding and yes, meteorology also has the highest percentage of female students (not counting teaching of maths, physics, and IT) which, whether you like it or not, is also correlated with the significantly lower mathematical IQ in that subfield.

I am totally confident that every sufficiently large and representative university with a physics department could reconstruct a correlation between e.g. the grades and the specialization that the students choose that would confirm most of the general patterns above. But at many places, these things are just a taboo. This is extremely unfortunate because the public should know where the smartest people may be looked for ? and atmospheric physics or climatology certainly can't be listed in the answer to this question. It's important because when such things are taboo, certain people may play games and pretend that they're something that they're not.

Dyson also touched another interesting topic, the difference between "understanding" and "sitting in front of a computer model that is assumed to understand". I have discussed this difference many times. But let me repeat that they're totally different things. While I would agree it's a waste of time ? and a silly sport ? to force students to do mechanical operations that may be done by a computer or learn lots of simple rules that may be summarized in a book (because the students are downgraded to a dull memory chip or a simple CPU chip), it's necessary for a student to go through all the key steps and methods at least once so that he or she knows how they work inside. Or at least they may feel confident that if they wanted to improve their understanding what's going on, they could penetrate into all the details within hours of extra study or earlier.

The climate forecasts have so large error margins that it makes no sense to pretend that you need to make a high-precision calculation. But if a high-precision calculation isn't needed, an approximate calculation is enough. And for an approximate calculation, you shouldn't need a terribly complicated algorithm that runs for a very long time. In fact, you should be able to construct a simplified picture and a calculation that may be reconstructed pretty much without a computer. In particular, if you can't derive the order-of-magnitude estimate for a quantity describing the behavior of a physical system, then you just don't understand the behavior! A computer may spit out a magic answer but you are not the computer. If you don't know what the computer is exactly doing, assuming etc., then you can't independently "endorse" the results by the computer, you can't know what they depend upon and how robust the actual outcome of the program is.

Mechanical arithmetic calculations may be boring and of course that it's not what mathematicians and physicists are supposed to be best at or do most of their time (a physicist or a mathematician is something else than an idiot savant, a simple fact that most of my close relatives are completely unaware of). On the other hand, much of the logic behind sciences and behind individual arguments in science is about solid technical thinking that may be sped up with the help of a computer but this thinking is still completely essential because science and mathematics are ultimately composed of these things! If you don't know them, you don't know science and mathematics.

An extra topic in the context of atmospheric physics is the difference between the knowledge and "character of knowledge" of meteorologists and climatologists. I would say that meteorologists are in a much better shape when it comes to their "mental training" because they deal with lots of real-world data that affect their thinking. They have some experience. In comparison, climatologists work with a much smaller amount of data ? they talk about 30-year averages but our record isn't too much longer than 30 years so there are just "several numbers". The predictions only face the real-world data after many decades when the climatologist is already retired or dead and this confrontation between real-world data and scientists' opinions is what drives the "natural selection" of ideas in empirically based disciplines ? and atmospheric physics disciplines are surely textbook examples of them.

The most extreme form of the intellectual degradation is the idea that the only important quantity to be predicted is the rate of [global] temperature increase (or, almost equivalently in the climate believers' opinion, the climate sensitivity). If someone believes it's the only number to be derived and one can fudge hundreds of parameters to do so, it's too bad! Clearly, such a predictive framework is totally worthless. A predictive framework must be able to predict a larger number of numbers than the number of parameters that have to be inserted. Needless to say, my description of the situation of the "hardcore alarmed climatology" was way too kind because they don't even verify the single only "calculated" result ? the climate sensitivity. When it differs by a factor of 3 from the observations, they just don't care. So they don't predict anything. They have absolutely no data ? no "threats" for their pet ideas ? that could direct their construction and improvement of the theories.

Source: http://motls.blogspot.com/2013/04/dyson-climatologists-are-no-einsteins.html

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Thursday, April 4, 2013

Watch: Hillary Clinton Appearance Sparks Presidential Rumors (ABC News)

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'Insane' crowds as customers flood Connecticut gun stores before vote

Wendy Carlson / The New York Times

Vic Benson, owner of The Freedom Shoppe, records the sale of an assault weapon during a sale in anticipation of new gun control measures in New Milford, Conn., April 2, 2013.

By Matthew DeLuca and Sofia Perpetua, NBC News

Gun stores all over Connecticut were packed Tuesday, one day before lawmakers were expected to vote on a sweeping package of laws that would ban military-style assault weapons and magazines that hold more than 10 rounds.

?They?re insane. I?ve never seen them so busy before,? shopper Shari Reilly, who bought up several high-capacity magazines, told NBC Connecticut.

Gov. Dannel P. Molloy, a Democrat, has said he will sign what could be ?the toughest law passed anywhere in the country" -- if it gets through the legislature.

Connecticut would become the latest of a handful of states ? following Colorado and New York ? to enact strict new gun-control legislation after the mass shootings in an Aurora, Colo., movie theater and Newtown, Conn., shool. President Obama was scheduled to speak in Colorado on Wednesday to push new federal laws.

Gun manufacturers, ammunition makers and gun store owners in Connecticut have said their businesses will be threatened if a stringent new gun control bill becomes law.

?I feel like we have one foot being pushed out the door,? Mark Malkowski, the owner of AR-15 manufacturer Stag Arms, told NBC Connecticut. He said his company has received nearly two dozen incentive-laden offers to move out of the state.

?They?re really good offers,? Malkowski said. ?They are offering tax abatements, they?re offering to build you a factory.?

A Connecticut gun store employee who asked not to be identified told NBC News that his store is selling five times the usual amount. ?When your governor is threatening to take away your guns, what do you think it?s going to happen?? he said.

Bob Montlick, owner of Bob?s Gun Exchange in Darien, told the Connecticut Post he believes people will try to get firearms while they can.

"The only people who are going to comply with any of this are going to be the honest ones," Montlick told the paper. "The bad guys are going to get what they get or steal with anything?else."

Hoffman?s Gun Center and Indoor Range in Newington reported brisk business on Tuesday as customers scraped shelves for whatever was left.

?I walked through. I walked out because they didn?t have anything. The girl told me what?s on the shelf is what they have. And I totally believe that,? would-be purchaser Nick Viccione told The Associated Press. The Wallingford resident said people were snatching up ammunition and ?anything semi-automatic.?

The National Shooting Sports Foundation, a trade association based in Newtown, said that it opposed the proposed legislation in a press release on Tuesday.

?We have a situation where law-abiding citizens will face greater restrictions on their Second Amendment and state constitutional rights while Connecticut?s firearms manufacturers will be forced to pay a price economically for the state?s double-standard of you can build it here, but? not sell it here, public policy formulation,? the NSSF said in the statement.

Frenzied buying at gun stores nationwide has been reported ever since the shooting that left 26 children and educators dead at Sandy Hook Elementary School. Store owners and customers have cited the threat of new state and federal controls on guns and ammunition as the cause.

Documents obtained by NBC News in January through a Freedom of Information Act request showed that background checks on gun sales in Connecticut rose in the hours following the Newtown shooting. Between 11 a.m. and noon on December 14 ? just as news of Adam Lanza?s rampage was breaking ? Connecticut gun dealers logged nearly double the number of backgrounds checks performed in the same hour a week before, the FOIA documents show.

?

Related:

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New [Media] Love: Long-distance Relationships in the Digital Age ...

This post was produced as part of the UW Comm Department?s undergraduate Entrepreneurial?Journalism course.

By Steven Dolan

It?s 2a.m. and I?m laughing at the computer screen. ?I have to go to bed,? I say. ?I love you.?

To the untrained eye, it would appear I?m seriously involved with my laptop, but truthfully, I?m seriously involved through my laptop.

The writer (lower right boxt) and his "other" Skype, as they do almost every day. (Screenshot by Steven Dolan)

The writer (lower right boxt) and his ?other? Skype, as they do almost every day. (Screenshot by Steven Dolan)

With the aid of digital technology, more college students and recent graduates are maintaining romantic relationships, even with the pressures of the future looming. We are told as college students that we?ve reached a pinnacle of decision and opportunity, so when decisions are necessary to advance in careers and relationships,?the lines are blurred by digital access.

I?ve always been a skeptic when it comes to romantic relationships, even more so over distance, so when I found myself in the midst of my own long-distance relationship, I questioned its validity and worth.

I realized I was surrounded by people in similar situations. Friends and classmates were among those who shared their stories with me.

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

US warns Egypt's transition may be backsliding (The Arizona Republic)

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Ancient pool of warm water questions current climate models

Ancient pool of warm water questions current climate models [ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 3-Apr-2013
[ | E-mail | Share Share ]

Contact: Clare Ryan
clare.ryan@ucl.ac.uk
44-020-310-83846
University College London

A huge pool of warm water that stretched out from Indonesia over to Africa and South America four million years ago suggests climate models might be too conservative in forecasting tropical changes.

Present in the Pliocene era, this giant mass of water would have dramatically altered rainfall in the tropics, possibly even removing the monsoon. Its decay and the consequential drying of East Africa may have been a factor in Hominid evolution.

Published in Nature today, the missing data for this phenomenon could have significant implications when predicting the future climate.

When analysing all the available sea surface temperature records spanning the past five million years, the international team with academics from UCL and Yale found that none of the currently proposed mechanisms can account for such conditions in the Pliocene, when tested using a climate model.

"Essentially, we've looked at a warm world in the past and it shows changes in the pattern of tropical sea surface temperatures. We've analysed all the existing theories to explain this vast pool of ancient warm water, and even in combination they can't explain something as odd as this," said Dr Chris Brierley (UCL Geography), a co-author of the paper.

Occurring between three and five million years ago, the Pliocene was the last time the world was in a steady climate that was warmer, and with a carbon dioxide level higher than the conditions that existed before the Industrial Revolution. As a result, it has attracted strong attention as a possible basis for future climate conditions once carbon dioxide levels have been stabilized.

The three critical conditions that defined the tropical Pliocene climate were:

  • Evidence of the maximum ocean temperature not being much warmer;
  • Reduced east-west temperate differences; and
  • Weaker north-south differences in the tropics.

It is these three conditions that the team say that any future efforts at modelling the past must explain.

"An important question is how much the evidence of climate evolution over the last five million years shapes our assessment of future change. From these observations, it is clear that the climate system is capable of remarkable transformations even with small changes in external parameters such as carbon dioxide," said Dr Brierley.

"Therefore, explaining the discrepancy between model simulations and the early Pliocene temperature patterns is essential for building confidence in our climate projections.

"In many ways, this work on past climates is part of understanding the uncertainty of future climate. It can give us a heads-up of potential climates that we hadn't imagined possible before." added Dr Brierley.

###

Notes to editors:

1. Copies of Patterns and mechanisms of early Pliocene warmth by A. Fedorov et al, are available from the press office on request.

2. Financial support was provided by the grants to Alexey Fedorov and Kira Lawrence from the U.S. National Science Foundation (OCE-0901921 & OCE-0623310), U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science (DE-SC0007037), and the David and Lucile Packard Foundation. This work was supported in part by the Yale University Faculty of Arts and Sciences High Performance Computing facility.

Contacts are:

Dr Chris Brierley, UCL Geography
Tel: +44 (0)20 7679 0571
Mob: +44 (0)7427 647941
Email: c.brierley@ucl.ac.uk
Website: http://www.geog.ucl.ac.uk/about-the-department/people/academics/academic-staff/chris-brierley/

Clare Ryan, UCL Media Relations Manager
Tel: +44 (0)20 3108 3846
Mob: +44 (0)7747 565 056
Email: clare.ryan@ucl.ac.uk

About UCL (University College London)
Founded in 1826, UCL was the first English university established after Oxford and Cambridge, the first to admit students regardless of race, class, religion or gender and the first to provide systematic teaching of law, architecture and medicine.

We are among the world's top universities, as reflected by our performance in a range of international rankings and tables. According to the Thomson Scientific Citation Index, UCL is the second most highly cited European university and the 15th most highly cited in the world.

UCL has nearly 25,000 students from 150 countries and more than 9,000 employees, of whom one-third are from outside the UK. The university is based in Bloomsbury in the heart of London, but also has two international campuses UCL Australia and UCL Qatar. Our annual income is more than 800 million.

http://www.ucl.ac.uk | Follow us on Twitter @uclnews | Watch our YouTube channel YouTube.com/UCLTV


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Ancient pool of warm water questions current climate models [ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 3-Apr-2013
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Contact: Clare Ryan
clare.ryan@ucl.ac.uk
44-020-310-83846
University College London

A huge pool of warm water that stretched out from Indonesia over to Africa and South America four million years ago suggests climate models might be too conservative in forecasting tropical changes.

Present in the Pliocene era, this giant mass of water would have dramatically altered rainfall in the tropics, possibly even removing the monsoon. Its decay and the consequential drying of East Africa may have been a factor in Hominid evolution.

Published in Nature today, the missing data for this phenomenon could have significant implications when predicting the future climate.

When analysing all the available sea surface temperature records spanning the past five million years, the international team with academics from UCL and Yale found that none of the currently proposed mechanisms can account for such conditions in the Pliocene, when tested using a climate model.

"Essentially, we've looked at a warm world in the past and it shows changes in the pattern of tropical sea surface temperatures. We've analysed all the existing theories to explain this vast pool of ancient warm water, and even in combination they can't explain something as odd as this," said Dr Chris Brierley (UCL Geography), a co-author of the paper.

Occurring between three and five million years ago, the Pliocene was the last time the world was in a steady climate that was warmer, and with a carbon dioxide level higher than the conditions that existed before the Industrial Revolution. As a result, it has attracted strong attention as a possible basis for future climate conditions once carbon dioxide levels have been stabilized.

The three critical conditions that defined the tropical Pliocene climate were:

  • Evidence of the maximum ocean temperature not being much warmer;
  • Reduced east-west temperate differences; and
  • Weaker north-south differences in the tropics.

It is these three conditions that the team say that any future efforts at modelling the past must explain.

"An important question is how much the evidence of climate evolution over the last five million years shapes our assessment of future change. From these observations, it is clear that the climate system is capable of remarkable transformations even with small changes in external parameters such as carbon dioxide," said Dr Brierley.

"Therefore, explaining the discrepancy between model simulations and the early Pliocene temperature patterns is essential for building confidence in our climate projections.

"In many ways, this work on past climates is part of understanding the uncertainty of future climate. It can give us a heads-up of potential climates that we hadn't imagined possible before." added Dr Brierley.

###

Notes to editors:

1. Copies of Patterns and mechanisms of early Pliocene warmth by A. Fedorov et al, are available from the press office on request.

2. Financial support was provided by the grants to Alexey Fedorov and Kira Lawrence from the U.S. National Science Foundation (OCE-0901921 & OCE-0623310), U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science (DE-SC0007037), and the David and Lucile Packard Foundation. This work was supported in part by the Yale University Faculty of Arts and Sciences High Performance Computing facility.

Contacts are:

Dr Chris Brierley, UCL Geography
Tel: +44 (0)20 7679 0571
Mob: +44 (0)7427 647941
Email: c.brierley@ucl.ac.uk
Website: http://www.geog.ucl.ac.uk/about-the-department/people/academics/academic-staff/chris-brierley/

Clare Ryan, UCL Media Relations Manager
Tel: +44 (0)20 3108 3846
Mob: +44 (0)7747 565 056
Email: clare.ryan@ucl.ac.uk

About UCL (University College London)
Founded in 1826, UCL was the first English university established after Oxford and Cambridge, the first to admit students regardless of race, class, religion or gender and the first to provide systematic teaching of law, architecture and medicine.

We are among the world's top universities, as reflected by our performance in a range of international rankings and tables. According to the Thomson Scientific Citation Index, UCL is the second most highly cited European university and the 15th most highly cited in the world.

UCL has nearly 25,000 students from 150 countries and more than 9,000 employees, of whom one-third are from outside the UK. The university is based in Bloomsbury in the heart of London, but also has two international campuses UCL Australia and UCL Qatar. Our annual income is more than 800 million.

http://www.ucl.ac.uk | Follow us on Twitter @uclnews | Watch our YouTube channel YouTube.com/UCLTV


[ Back to EurekAlert! ] [ | E-mail | Share Share ]

?


AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.


Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2013-04/ucl-apo040313.php

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Obama Sequesters Himself to Prove the Wrong Point

In a measure of solidarity with those affected by the budget-slashing government sequestration, President Obama is giving up 5 percent of his salary for rest of the year, which is almost as admirable and sensible as a mansion-owner shutting off his marble fountains during a drought.

RELATED: Who Owns the Sequester?

This is not to imply that the president shouldn't demonstrate some unity with those who've been furloughed or lost work because of the blind slashing the sequestration prompted. People like Jeff Maryak, profiled by BuzzFeed, who is considering re-enlisting to make ends meet after a 27 percent pay cut. People like those who've lost access to critical public services as government employees have been told to stay at home. Obama should certainly show that he understands how the cuts ??which he signed into law ??are hurting people across the country.

RELATED: Obama's Secret Food Offensive Marches Forward with Paul Ryan Budget Date

But a 5 percent pay cut is stupid. The New York Times reports that the amount was meant to "approximate the level of automatic spending cuts to non-defense federal agencies that took effect" at the beginning of March. (Obama's pay cut is retroactive to that date and runs through the end of the year, so he's forgoing 4.2 percent of his 2013.) For Obama, who makes a federally mandated $400,000 a year, he's losing $16,667 this year. For a worker earning minimum wage, Obama's pay cut is $1,500 more than they'll earn this year.

RELATED: What Time Does the Sequester Start?

Unlike the cuts faced by others, Obama's dip will not affect his lifestyle. The president has a few other perks that an average worker doesn't. He has a house, for example. He doesn't pay for gas in his limousine fleet. He pays for personal expenses, but also has an expense account, as detailed in this great (if old) Slate explainer. Very, very few people earning minimum wage can match that.

RELATED: Not All Crises Are Manufactured Equally

Nor would this be a big dent if the president weren't actually president. Barack Obama, thanks mostly to sales of his various books, has a pretty decent bank account. Last year, CNNMoney estimated his net worth at between $2.8 and $11 million. In 2011, the last year for which data is available, he earned about $790,000, including his presidential salary. Even if CNNMoney's lower bound estimate is correct, losing 16 grand is a dip of about .6 percent in his net worth.

RELATED: Obama Wants to Kick the Can a Bit More on the Sequester

All of which makes his offer to sacrifice five percent of his salary a worse move than if he'd done nothing. If someone you know to be wealthy drops a quarter into a cup held by a homeless person, you're far more likely to consider the move cheap than generous.

Granted, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel forced Obama's hand a bit, by offering to take a similar cut yesterday afternoon. (Hagel's losing about ten grand.) But the real problem is that cutting the salaries of individual elected officials is almost always a silly gesture. There are 100 senators in Washington. If each cut his or her (but mostly his) salary by 10 percent for the entirety of 2013, do you know how much that would save the budget? $1.7 million ??or .00005 percent of the federal government's 2012 budget of about $3.5 trillion. Add in the House, and you get up to .0002 percent. People love the idea ? there's a tantalizing punitive aspect to forcing pay cuts on legislators ? but it's all show.

What Obama's move does do is draw precisely the wrong sort of attention to cuts. The sequestration is having an affect across the country, but it's mostly hidden, falling on the backs of recipients of housing vouchers and food pantries and the long-term unemployed. Obama's move is forcing the press to talk about the issue again, but what the press is discussing isn't poor workers who are trying to make ends meet. Instead, they're discussing a wealthy man with exceptional benefits who is dropping quarters into tip cups.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/obama-sequesters-himself-prove-wrong-point-202553178.html

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